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Morning Bid: Fed turns screw, Micron pops
  + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
But as investors hit the half-year mark tomorrow, the tightening credit environment tempered fresh risk-taking. Two-year Treasury yields crept higher to 4.77% on Thursday after all the news, with the dollar (.DXY) firmer too and S&P500 futures marginally positive - helped by Micron. The VIX (.VIX) volatility gauge remains subdued at 13.6. Powell's relative hawkishness was mostly matched by counterparts at the European Central Bank and Bank of England yesterday. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Riksbank, Jerome Powell, Raphael Bostic, Paychex, Elaine Hardcastle Organizations: Federal Reserve, Micron, European Central Bank and Bank of England, Atlanta Fed, Nike, McCormick, Paychex Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Asia, Europe, Japan, China, Madrid, Dublin, Brussels
Americans aren't spending like they used to
  + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
You can also download the app to get notifications about our biggest markets stories. Spending has remained elevated even through the Fed's 10 straight rate hikes, but warning signs of a change have started to surface. That's going to further take the wind out of Americans' brisk spending over the last few years. From David Rosenberg to Rob Arnott, experts are sharing what the disruptive technology can mean for the economy, jobs, and stock market. The biggest companies and banks can't agree on where the stock market is heading next.
Persons: I'm Phil Rosen, You'll, let's, Derek Davis, Patek Pilippe, Audemars, Jerome Powell, Brian Moynihan, Morgan Stanley, Andy Ryan, Pablo Hernández de Cos, David Rosenberg, Rob Arnott, Stocks, Russell, Goldman Sachs, Phil Rosen, Max Adams, Hallam Bullock Organizations: Big Apple, Portland Portland Press, Getty, Rolex, Bloomberg, Bank of America, Bank of Spain, Fed, Wall Street, Royal, Nvidia, Tesla, Morningstar Locations: Madrid, Phoenix, Miami, Royal Caribbean, New York, London
The Dow Jones Industrial Average , the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq lost more than 1% each for this holiday-shortened week. This coming week will feature some key inflation data to keep an eye on. On Tuesday, the May housing starts report was released, coming in much stronger than expected, at a 1.63 million seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR), versus 1.39 million SAAR expected. Building permits were also above expectations at a1.49 million SAAR versus 1.43 million SAAR expected. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Jim Cramer, he's, Jefferies, JEF, Mills, HB Fuller, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Federal, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Constellation Brands, Corp, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Micron Technology, Gross, Aid, McCormick &, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: U.S, SAAR
Against this backdrop, investors will head into the final week of June with a relatively light economic calendar. However, those few data sets could provide investors with clues on how the market will fare going into the second half. Key inflation data ahead Of note next week is the core personal consumption expenditures index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Reports to watch out for include Tuesday's new home sales and Thursday's pending home sales data, both for May. Elsewhere, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky warned this week the downside for tech names could be as "equally impressive" as their rally.
Persons: Jerome Powell, annualized, Dow Jones, Terry Sandven, Sandven, that's, Megan Horneman, Stephen Suttmeier, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Art Hogan, Hogan, Mills, Paychex Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal, Bank of England, Global Wealth Management, Americas, UBS, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, Verdence Capital Advisors, Bank of America, Dow, Riley Wealth Management, Fed, Walgreens, Micron, Nike, Constellation Brands
Despite a strong job market, human resources and employment services stocks have taken a beating lately. That could signal an economic slowdown ahead. Since March 1, the S & P 1500 Composite Human Resource & Employment Services Sub-Industry has seen accelerated underperformance versus the broader S & P Composite 1500 index. Large drawdowns in the jobs-related sub-industry tend to precede recessions and larger increases in unemployment. See below for details on how stocks in the S & P 1500 Composite Human Resource & Employment Services Sub-Industry have performed in recent months.
Persons: Dow Jones, nonfarm payrolls, Robert, ASGN, Korn, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Industry, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, ADP, Dow, Robert Half International, Wednesday, UBS, Robert Half, Kelly Services
"The overhangs on the market this year [are] the debt ceiling negotiation, hawkish Fed commentary and a banking crisis. It appears we are going to get a debt ceiling deal over the weekend, which should help the market to stabilize." The problem for many on the Street is the action in the S & P 500 Tech Index, up more than 5% this week; the Nasdaq Composite , ahead about 2.5%; and the S & P 500 , with a 0.3% gain, masks so much weakness beneath the surface. The S & P 500 consumer staples, materials, health care and utilities were all down between 2.4% and 3.2% this week, and the Dow Industrials were lower 1%. Although the S & P 500 is 9.5% higher so far in 2023, only a few stocks are doing well. "
In the midst of an uncertain economy and precarious job market, Gen Z is turning up the hustle. According to a 2022 survey commissioned by Microsoft, 48% of Gen Z respondents were juggling multiple side hustles at once. Broken promisesWhile young people often work multiple jobs through college and early in their career, Gen Zers are extending the work hustle into their formal careers. But after watching that dream die for millennials, Gen Z isn't buying into what they view as a broken social contract. "So Gen Z has seen there's other ways to make money, even as a kid, through platforms like YouTube."
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIncreasing supply of high-quality labor key to reducing wage inflation, says Paychex CEO John GibsonPaychex CEO John Gibson joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the company's April Small Business Jobs Index, which shows slowing wage & job growth, and what it means for the broader economy.
Morgan Stanley initiates Sunnova as overweight Morgan Stanley said it sees 124% upside for the solar company. " Morgan Stanley downgrades First Solar to underweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley downgraded the stock mainly on valuation. Bank of America adds Lowe's to the US 1 list Bank of America added the home improvement giant to its top ideas list. Bank of America names Netflix a top second-quarter pick Bank of America said it's bullish on the streaming giant as the second quarter begins. Morgan Stanley downgrades Marqeta to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said in its downgrade of the card payment and solutions company that it sees too many negative catalysts. "
UnitedHealth — Shares of the health insurance giant gained about 4% after the Center for Medicare & Medicaid Services on Friday announced updated payment rates. The Wall Street firm said Marqueta is facing a "multitude of headwinds" without an ironed-out renewal deal with Block. Extra Space Storage , Life Storage — Shares of Extra Space Storage fell 5% after the company said it would acquire Life Storage in an all-stock transaction for $145.82 per share, an 11.2% premium to where Life Storage closed Friday. Shares of Life Storage shares rose 3%. Ovintiv – The oil and natural gas exploration and production company saw shares jump 10% after announcing it will acquire certain Midland Basin assets from EnCap Investments for about $4.3 billion.
How are we approaching the market week ahead? I also explained that we are indeed in a bull market, but that things could get a bit rocky from here. Analyst Matthew Boss also increased his price target by a buck to $29, citing favorable risk-to-reward setup at current stock price. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.
Cramer's one-on-one with the CEO of Paychex after earnings
  + stars: | 2023-03-29 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCramer's one-on-one with the CEO of Paychex after earningsMad Money host Jim Cramer talks to Paychex CEO about the company's earnings after reporting today.
Morning Bid: Bank calm, rates firm, Alibaba steals show
  + stars: | 2023-03-29 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
A semblance of calm has returned to world markets in the final week of the first quarter as the banking storm abates and the spotlight switched to a share-boosting six-way revamp of Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba. Investors cheered the surprise move from Alibaba (9988.HK) as a sign Beijing's corporate crackdown may be nearing an end, sending shares of the Jack Ma-founded firm and peers soaring. The surprise move seeks to take advantage of Ermotti's experience rebuilding the bank after the global financial crisis 15 years ago. Broader stock markets were higher across the board, with Wall St futures up almost 1% ahead of the open. Futures markets now show a 50-50 chance of one more Fed rate hike in this cycle in May and half a point of easing by yearend.
Lululemon – Lululemon shares surged more than 16% before the Wednesday open after posting a strong holiday quarter and sharing upbeat guidance for the current fiscal year. The athleisure wear company reported adjusted earnings of $4.40 a share on $2.77 billion in revenue and said same-store sales climbed by 27%. Carnival Corp — Shares of the cruise line climbed 2.5% in premarket trading after Susquehanna upgraded Carnival to positive from neutral. Micron fiscal second quarter results missed analyst expectations on both the top and bottom lines, according to Refinitiv consensus estimates. Paychex Inc. — Shares of the payroll services company were up nearly 3% premarket ahead of fiscal third-quarter earnings due after the close on Wednesday.
Work from home has in part jacked up food prices, and the increase is about 14% above just last year. The only bank that looks like Silicon Valley Bank is First Republic Bank (FRC) because it, too, has suffered huge deposit withdrawals. Nike (NKE)said China orders were good, so did Club stock Starbucks (SBUX). As counterintuitive as it is, the banking row will give the 4.8% fed funds rate a chance to cool consumer spending. This gives stocks a window to advance until we begin earnings season with what will no doubt be a cautious banking sector.
The personal spending and income report, out this coming Friday, has the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation: the core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index. In comparison, the consumer price index (CPI), released this past week, only tracks price changes over time. It was a positive week for the major averages, despite some midweek volatility driven by comments from Treasury officials. The PCE price index and other inflation reports face heightened scrutiny in the coming months as the market is becoming more at odds with the Fed's base case. ET: Gross Domestic Product; Price Index Friday, March 31 Before the bell: 8:30 a.m.
Experts say it's important to grieve career regret, but in reality, there are chances for do-overs. Career regret is linked to anxiety as well as employee dissatisfaction, disengagement, and turnover. 'You need to forgive yourself'The difference between career regret and run-of-the-mill career disappointment is that the root of regret stems from a decision you made, as opposed to one that was made for you. A career disappointment is the job you didn't get; a career regret is the job you walked away from and can't get off your mind. 'In reality, there are plenty of do-overs'It's important to grieve career regret, experts say.
According to Joblist's second quarter of 2022 report, 26% of "job seekers who quit their previous job" regret the move. Kristen is still hoping things will work out and that she will land a job soon, but is feeling some regrets. I wish I would've not quit my first job," Kristen said. "I wish so many different things would've fallen into place. But, at the end of the day, I can't wish things away."
The "Great Regret" is the latest workplace trend to sweep the nation, with the majority of professionals who quit their jobs last year wishing they could get a do-over, according to a new survey. Now, 8 out of 10 professionals who left their jobs regret their decision, a new Paychex study finds. Paychex surveyed 825 employees who quit during the "great resignation" and 354 employers to analyze the impact of the quitting spree and gauge employees' job satisfaction. They found that mental health, work-life balance, workplace relationships and the chance to get rehired all suffered as a result. "Despite satisfaction with mental health and work-life balance influencing many resignations, only about half of respondents from our survey said they are satisfied with their mental health (54%) and work-life balance (43%) in their new workplace.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPaycheck CEO: This is the sixth consecutive month of wage inflation declinePaychex CEO John Gibson joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss his vantage point view of the employment picture, the employment industry breakdown, and more.
Small business funding becoming an issue, says Paychex CEO
  + stars: | 2023-01-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSmall business funding becoming an issue, says Paychex CEOJohn Gibson, Paychex CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss if the Federal Reserve's moves are having an impact, how the small business picture could be more hazy this year and more.
Mental health experts shared tips for approaching your manager about your mental health. Thousands of cancelled flights during the holidays, inflation, the pandemic, and the war in Ukraine are chipping away at Americans' mental health. A Gallup poll published in December found that the number of Americans reporting their mental health was "good" or "excellent" was at a record low, while the number of Americans seeking help for their mental health was up. Many are likely grappling with whether to talk to their manager about their mental health. "Beyond Happiness" author Lim suggested framing the conversation around improving your mental health as something that would help both you and your employer.
Case in point: Natural gas prices plunge roughly 25% this week alone and even more for the month. Citi cuts price target on Paychex (PAYX) to $119 per share from $131. Wedbush cuts price target on Tesla (TSLA) to $175 per share from $250, though keeps its outperform (buy) rating. Loop Capital cut Paramount Global (PARA) to a sell from hold, slashing its price target to $14 per share from $30. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Apparently, some tech workers are also missing their companies' holiday festivities — but not because they're bopping around in the Mountain West. As tech companies pull back on spending, big office holiday parties are on the chopping block. Cost-cutting is coming for startups — and big office holiday parties are first on the list. For startup founders and venture capitalists, the office holiday party is a December tradition. But this year, holiday parties in startup-land look a little different.
Don't shoot the messenger here, but today I'm breaking down the many troubles plaguing the housing market and homebuyers. The Fed's interest rate maneuvering and the housing market are connected, and mortgage rates often move in lockstep with the central bank's benchmark rate. Brian Jacobsen, a senior strategist for Allspring Global Investments, pointed to a triumvirate of headwinds weighing on the housing sector: labor shortages, rising costs, and soaring mortgages. That means more rate hikes are effectively guaranteed, which raises the odds of a recession and can further squash housing demand. What's your forecast for the housing market next year?
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